Drought characterization in South Africa under a changing climate By Elelwani Phaduli Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE (METEOROLOGY) in the Faculty of Natural and Agricultural Sciences University of Pretoria Drought characterization in South Africa under a changing climate Corruption . Different drought indices and drought monitoring tools used across the globe as well as their advantages and shortcomings are explained. News24 asked JP Smith some questions that we didn’t. The project was launched in July 2010 and ran over a two year period. Drought Relief Funding in the Western Cape in 2010/2011. So far five provinces have been declared drought disaster areas: Mpumalanga, Limpopo, KwaZulu-Natal, North West and the Free State. Analysis Interpretation of the news based on evidence, including data, as well as anticipating how events might unfold based on past events. Only indicators B5a and B5b are considered. What is a drought? The Eastern Cape has by far the largest numbers of livestock in the country. Climate-Data.org > South Africa > Eastern Cape. Pre 7 Eastern Limb of the Bushveld Complex Pre 8 Craton traverse: A transect through ~2.7Ga of South African history Pre 9 Early Cretaceous Basins along the southern Cape coast. The debilitating drought in the Eastern Cape is likely to hit poor rural villagers and seasonal farm workers hard unless rain falls soon, say farmers and water authorities. The El Nino weather phenomenon, one of the worst in 50 years, has caused intense drought in southern Africa that will have a "devastating" impact on … Data preprocessing and data extraction methods are … It is feared that, unless it rains very soon, the drinking water supply in Cape town will be seriously threatened. This was supplemented by secondary data collected Data collection and analysis Data collection The first survival assessment was carried out one month after planting and the dead plants replaced with cuttings/ seedlings representing the same taxon. 10 November 2019: The drought in the Eastern Cape since 2016 has caused many dams in the region, such as this one in the centre of Ngqwele village in Ngqushwa municipality, to dry up. The field boundaries were updated from Spot 5 images of 2011 and 2012 and a total of 809 383.6 ha were updated, which represents approximately 60% of all field boundaries in the Eastern Cape. The SPEI was used to quantify the precipitation deficit over time and space across the catchment for the time-scales that are important … 4.4.5.2/330/16. National GDP per capita was estimated at R81 875 in 2017. In this article, the impact of the 2017-18 drought on the Western Cape agricultural sector is assessed using satellite-based data products available via (0)21 276 0458 in@wineland.co.za Facebook Some farmers practise commercial farming individually. Drought Disaster: Northern Cape farming towns relying on water and food donations While everyone is well aware of the drought in the Western Cape, these Northern Cape … Severe Drought Situation • Western Cape Province (South Africa) is going through a severe drought, affecting in particular urban areas of Cape Town and its water supply. Cape Town has dominated headlines as the city most likely to run out of water due to the crippling drought in the Western Cape. Purchase, transportation and distribution of drought pellets in the KZN Province. (Note: View this map to see the situation in December 2015.) Download data collection of drought document. Currently almost 10 000 farms with a carrying capacity of 166 000 large stock units, covering more than 5.8 million hectares have experienced prolonged drought. Data and network design questions, with an emphasis on real-time data collection, are key issues in understanding, predicting, and documenting floods. drought-stricken areas in the Eastern Cape. Eastern Cape Climate Eastern Cape has many different climates, but is dominated by Cfb. The highest worldwide monthly rainfall occurs at Cherrapunji, India (9300 mm) and in South Africa at Matiwa in the Limpopo Province (1510 mm measured in January 1958). DWA, 2011e. frequent incidents of drought. As shown in Table 1, the urban, metropolitan municipalities of Buffalo City and Nelson Mandela Bay have the highest HDIs in the Eastern Cape at 0.66 and 0.68, respectively.The Amathole district has a lower HDI at 0.59 but shows an improvement of 0.16% between 2000 and 2012, indicating that social assistance and public services have had a positive influence on households in the district in … Pre 10 Namaqualand Metamorphic Province Pre 11 Cape Fold Belt Pre 12 Seismotectonics and hydrology of faults systems in the western and southern Cape The three provinces had been declared provincial drought areas. The province consists ... market competition, fencing, drought, etc. 2. Very little of Cape Town’s water is sourced from in the city itself. The Cape Town region experiences a Mediterranean climate with warm, dry summers and winter rainfall. Using information from 500 livestock farmers between 2005 and 2009 farming season, three methods of analysis were used to determine impacts of climate change and adaptation. Data and network design questions, with an emphasis on real-time data collection, are key issues in understanding, predicting, and documenting floods. Day Zero would mean taps across Cape Town are shut off. This site was created to make that obvious to everyone. On this page you can read or download collection of data about drought in PDF format. My friends, Manzi Mzwandile, Tumaeletsi Bodibe, Nkatlo Tefo, Dr Thabang Matobako, Nocanda Meshack and others who have been supportive. Section 4: Western Cape Water Sector’s Vision, Goals, Targets and Alignment to iKapa Growth and Development Strategy. My technical editor, Mrs Dora Du Plessis, who did a splendid work on editing and arranging my work. This kind of drought is expected once in 300 years (90% confidence interval: 105 to 1,280 years). The debilitating drought in the Eastern Cape has seriously impacted on poor rural villagers and seasonal farm workers. Both qualitative and quantitative approaches were used in this study. All predictions and models must be grounded in appropriate and reliable field data, and the USGS should give data collection the highest priority in hydrologic hazards programs. The Eastern Cape Province is one of the poorest provinces in the country. This kind of drought is expected once in 300 years (90% confidence interval: 105 to 1,280 years). The drought in the city itself is severe, but not the worst on record. Grasslands in Eastern Cape were compared in the detection of the impact of drought. Climate in Graaff-Reinet (Eastern Cape), South Africa The graphs below show the monthly weather averages over the year. Fact #3: Government is the biggest industry in Eastern Cape … These locations were selected because some households from these areas are involved in home gardens, and have Agri Wes-Cape has warned many farmers have started planting winter crops but rains have arrived too late. The province was worst affected by drought in the past eight years when dams were only The drought in the city itself is severe, but not the worst on record. Eastern Cape Province in South Africa has experienced extreme drought events during the last decade. Analysis and Synthesis of Data. The Province has been declared a drought disaster area, but this means very little until such time as funding in huge volumes becomes available for use within the Eastern Cape. This is not in place because of a few things. Last week, the Provincial Government declared the water situation in the Chapter 3: Provides a thorough description of the data and methodology used to carry out the analysis. It is also difficult to pinpoint exactly when the national drought began, as some areas had experienced below-average rainfall since 2014 (Drought SA 2016). The El Nino weather phenomenon, one of the worst in 50 years, has caused intense drought in southern Africa that will have a "devastating" impact on the region's food security, the UN food agency warned on Friday. Eastern Cape drought: DA calls on Ramaphosa to help farmers Eastern Cape Premier Oscar Mabuyane has also been called upon to give aid. The present drought in Cape Town has been caused by extremely poor rainfall in recent months, with the result that the water supplies are under enormous pressure. 2. Additional answers on News24. Drought Monitor Metadata: Information about the GIS data and other U.S. Drought Monitor data … In addition, production costs and profitability of beekeeping were determined, and opportunities and challenges to beekeeping were identified. Statistics South Africa Census 2011 Provincial Profile: Eastern Cape, Report 03-01-71 ii Census 2011 Provincial Profile: Eastern Cape / Statistics South Africa Published by Statistics South Africa, Private Bag X44, Pretoria 0001 • Non-drought season showed higher variability in coherence than drought season. 10. This study investigated and analysed the preparedness, impact of and response by the farming community to the 2007/2008 drought using the Eastern Cape … The objective of this study was to characterise meteorological droughts in the Central Region of South Africa using Standardised Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and to examine if there is a relationship between drought and El Niño events. Eastern, Western, and Northern Cape declared as severely affected (Mojapelo 2016). Briefing Document prepared by DWA Western Cape. The data was generated from 58 individual interviews using pre-tested structured questionnaires and checklists. the Eastern Cape Province. Even if Eastern Cape were able to double its GDP per capita, it would still be slightly lower than that of Gauteng. The coastal town of Port Alfred and the surrounding towns in the Ndlambe Municipality have almost run out of water.. Possible cause for extra concern? 1. National Imbizo focus in Ncora, Eastern Cape KZN drought roadshow Minister's visits in Mpumalanga Drought relief road show in Free State Minister's visits in in Northern Cape World Food Day Launch 2015 2015 Arbor Day 2015 Female Entrepreneur Awards The coldest place in South Africa is Buffelsfontein near Molteno (Eastern Cape) with a mean annual temperature of 11.3 ºC and an average annual minimum temperature of 2.8 ºC. Areas of the Eastern Cape that overlap with the Karroo, such as the area around Graaff-Reinet, have been especially badly hit. The drought took place at the same time as the Cape Town water crisis . As a result of the severe drought, the province experienced reduced grazing land and water for livestock and irrigation. Purchase, transportation and distribution of drought pellets in the Eastern Cape Province. The data shows that the drought over the water catchment area is the worst on record over one- and three-year periods. Safco Holdings. DWA, November 2010c. The most serious period of the drought is coloured in orange on the graph. Data obtained from the Climate Systems Analysis Group (CSAG) The Cape Town water crisis in South Africa was a period of severe water shortage in the Western Cape region, most notably affecting the City of Cape Town. Assessing the socio-economic impact of drought in Goedgevonden village, Ventersdorp Local Municipality in North West Province, South Africa – iv – Abstract The purpose of this study was to assess the socio-economic impact of drought in the Goedgevonden village within the Ventersdorp Local Municipality in the North West Province, Residents would have to go to one of 200 water collection points, and be limited to 25 liters per person per day. This is largely due to the position of the subcontinent relative to the low-pressure systems between 40˚ and 50˚ south (Midgley et al 2005). The Cape Town drought was one of the longest and the worst to have affected the city and the region in recent times. Study area, data and Methods . 8. as shown in this average rainfall chart for Paarl, which is located close to the SW Cape main dams. The economies of farms are tied to those of small towns. 9. farming in the Eastern Cape province of South Africa. * Data from nearest weather station: Middelburg, South Africa (97 KM, 60 Miles). Eastern Cape, on the other hand, was the lowest ranking province. How the droughts in the Western and Eastern Cape affect tourism Multiple South African towns and provinces are experiencing a crippling drought. • The regularity of Sentinel-1 data is well-suited for InSAR applications. On this page you can read or download data collection of drought in PDF format. These terms have even been used regularly in scientific work on the topic (e.g. This will reduce the availability of water, increase the demand for water, and aggravate water stresses. The technical note on data and methodology to estimate the number of affected people is adjusted to the Eastern Cape and drought context. The North Eastern section of the Eastern Cape Province was derived as the area of interest by utilising all available datasets like crop suitability maps etc. The data shows that the drought over the water catchment area is the worst on record over one- and three-year periods. These low-pressure systems bring winter rainfall to the south-western With this geospatial model approach, we quantified indicators of the SFDRR for Target B “number of people affected” for the example of agricultural drought in the Eastern Cape province of South Africa in a spatially explicit way. According to SA Statistics 2017, 24% of the country’s cattle, 38% of the goats, 29% of all … farmers in coastal areas of the Eastern Cape Province, South Africa. Thankfully, in 2018 the region had a relatively bountiful rainy season, and the city was able to escape it's "Day Zero" plans for turning off the city's water supply. In the cases where there was an insufficient number of plants, P. elliottii or P. taeda seedlings were used as fillers and recorded as such. He said revenue collection … Having to see animals die of hunger and … Cropland Agricultural Equipment. Farmers are facing a massive economic crisis and relief is being sent from other provinces. Western Cape Provincial Water Sector Plan 2009-2014. The drought led the South African government to declare the region a "disaster area" in October 2019. Eastern Cape drought. South Africa is a very very corrupt country. The Northern Cape is experiencing one of the worst droughts in more than a century, with the magnitude of this drought affecting all five of the Northern Cape’s districts. Primary data were collected through face-to-face interviews with sampled recipients of the 2007/2008 drought relief scheme. The Eastern Cape is a marginal area for maize production, accounting for less than 1% of SAs marketed maize output. There needs to be a country wide approach to water management. Level: 1. Affected areas have had the lowest rainfall in 107 years. After data collection, questionnaires were coded, captured and analysed using MS Excel (2010) and SPSS version 22 (2014). The NOAA Climate Centre currently (March 2017) predicts that southern Africa should enjoy a winter of normal average rainfall, i.e. by Junie Sihlangu. Economic impacts Classification Count Köppen-Geiger Examples; Oceanic climate: 334: Cfb: Port Elizabeth, Loerie, Zuurberg Mountain Village, … But as officials in the Cape … alleviate the impacts of drought can also be attributableto the economic cost of the drought. After years of drought, Cape Town is about … Classifications. R 27 867 730.92 . Across large parts of Zimbabwe, Malawi, Zambia, South Africa, Mozambique, Botswana, and Madagascar, the rainfall season has so far been the driest in the last 35 years, the UN … The Western Cape Water Supply System 02-10-2019 14:39. in News. A drought is a stage during which farmers are urgently waiting for rain because … The North Eastern section of the Eastern Cape Province was derived as the area of interest by utilising all available datasets like crop suitability maps etc. There is … The drought affecting large parts of the Eastern Cape is worsening. Some parts of the Eastern Cape, Northern Cape, and Western Cape are severely affected by drought’s effects as well. 1.2 Types of drought data collection of drought. 2.1 Description of the Study Area . The Orange River which runs through Aliwal North, Ugie, Mount Fletcher, Mclean, Lady Grey, Barkly East and Burgersdorp, is completely dry and most of the affected towns now rely on groundwater and water from tanks. 68. Amid its worst drought since records began, the city — and the Western Cape … While images of grateful farmers receiving drought aid assistance from the Eastern Cape Department of Rural Development and Agrarian Reform (EC DRDAR) are doing the rounds on social media and in the press, it is important that the real message concerning the critical conditions prevailing in some areas of the Eastern Cape are highlighted, AgriEC said. Flocks of grazing animals have succumbed to the lack of food. Drought, history and some poor local governance combine to weigh down the Eastern Cape in Statistics South Africa’s latest report. This study conducted in the Eastern Cape, South Africa, aims primarily at addressing the first of these issues. Below-normal sea temperatures to the south-west and east of the study area are associated with drought in the eastern Cape. Rainfall in 2017 was especially poor. Among its … •Existing information on economic impacts of droughts is scarce, incomplete, unreliable and scattered •Drought impacts on natural ecosystems are difficult to value in economic terms.
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